Context
Beijing’s outreach to Southeast Asia could hinder the U.S. in its attempts to form a coalition aimed at isolating or deterring China economically.
Introduction
Xi Jinping’s three-nation tour (April 14-18, 2025) to Vietnam, Malaysia, and Cambodia aimed to present China as the most reliable partner. With 145% tariffs from the Trump administration, China is adjusting its economic strategy, focusing on countries with strong ties. The visit is part of Beijing's effort to ease external economic pressure, maintain stability, and strengthen its leadership in the Indo-Pacific, following the Central Conference on neighboring countries.
As a buffer and bridge
|
Country |
Tariff Impact (Under Trump) |
China's Rebuttal |
|
Cambodia |
Up to 59% combined tariff (10% universal + 49% post 90-day pause) |
China’s support for business and multilateralism; largest investor and trade partner |
|
Vietnam |
46% tariff |
45 cooperation agreements signed during Xi’s visit; focus on economic and diplomatic ties |
|
Malaysia |
24% tariff |
30+ agreements on digital economy, AI, agriculture, and infrastructure |
To project a contrast
|
Aspect |
Details |
|
Ideological and Normative Competition |
Beijing contrasts its model of non-interference and economic engagement with U.S. interventionism and ideological rigidity. |
|
Resonance in Cambodia |
The narrative resonates strongly in Cambodia, a close political ally of Beijing. |
|
Resonance in Malaysia |
To a lesser extent, the narrative also resonates in Malaysia, which seeks to maintain a balanced foreign policy. |
|
Soft Power Strategy |
Mr. Xi’s emphasis on a code of conduct in the South China Sea, BRI infrastructure development, and cultural linkages aims to recast China as a normative leader in regional order-building and offer an alternative to the U.S.-led liberal international order. |
|
Political Significance of Timing |
The visit is politically significant as U.S. engagement with Southeast Asia has been episodic, often perceived as reactive, while China offers tangible deliverables like infrastructure projects, digital collaboration, trade facilitation, and security dialogues. |
|
U.S. Indo-Pacific Strategy |
U.S. Indo-Pacific strategy is often seen as security-heavy, focused on countering China, while China’s approach emphasizes economic diplomacy. |
|
Intra-ASEAN Dynamics |
Mr. Xi’s visit plays into intra-ASEAN dynamics, deepening ties with Vietnam and Malaysia. Vietnamreassured on the South China Sea, and Malaysia is drawn to peaceful dispute resolution and BRI collaboration. |
|
U.S. vs China Economic Diplomacy |
While the U.S. emphasizes security partnerships (AUKUS, Quad, bilateral alliances), China focuses on economic diplomacy, with clear offers of investment and trade. The U.S.'s Indo-Pacific Economic Framework is criticized for lacking market access incentives compared to China. |
Conclusion
This tour also signals domestic political support for Mr. Xi, showing that China is not isolated despite Western pressure. Warm receptions, economic deals, and strategic dialogues bolster his authority and counter negative narratives about the economic slowdown or diplomatic tensions with the West. It also reassures the region and the Global South that China remains a reliable partner, though it remains to be seen how Southeast Asia will respond to his outreach despite Beijing's unilateral actions.